Box Office Predictions- 5/17-5/19

1) Star Trek: Into Darkness- 85M weekend, 110M total

Star Trek technically opens on Thursday, which I think could lead to about 25M in sales. I can’t find any info on midnight screenings, now that they moved up to Thursday, but I would safely add another 5M to that if there were midnights tomorrow night. The first Star Trek opened to 75M, and it’s safe to say it was a crowd-pleaser. There should be more first week business as people have realized that this new series is really good, and accessible to even non-trekkies. Some competition still exists from Iron Man 3 and The Great Gatsby, but there are no other new wide releases this week, keeping the field virtually wide open.

2) Iron Man 3- 33M weekend, 330M total

Iron Man 3 dipped a respectable 58% from week 1 to week 2, and should continue to dip a little over 50%. Crowds are still pleased with the threequel, but it still faces competition from Star Trek.

3) The Great Gatsby- 22M weekend, 87M total

Gatsby received a B cinemascore rating, which suggests it won’t be holding quite as well as some other movies have recently (42 comes to mind). A 55% drop to around 22M is likely, but 100M is still definitely going to be broken soon.

The Rest Of The Top 10:

4) Pain and Gain- 4M weekend, 47M total

5) 42- 3.5M weekend, 89M total

6) Oblivion- 3M weekend, 86M total

7) Peeples- 2.5M weekend, 8M total

8) The Croods- 2.5M weekend, 177M total

9) Mud- 2M, 11M total

10) The Big Wedding- 1M- 20M total

Coming Soon: Hangover 3, Fast and the Furious 6, and Epic.

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