Yes, I believe that the Ice Cube/Charlie Day comedy Fist Fight is going to outgross Matt Damon’s action The Great Wall. Interestingly, The Great Wall has already made 224M overseas (170M of that being from China alone). That doesn’t mean … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Fist Fight’ Will Climb A ‘Great Wall’
LEGO Batman didn’t quite hit the 60M many were expecting, but 54.5M total is good. Fifty Shades of Darker did much better than expected, and somehow managed a B+ cinemascore, which is up from the C+ the original received. I … Continue reading Weekend Box Office: ‘Lego’, ‘Shades’, ‘Wick’ all impress
Even though it might be the top destination choice for Valentine’s Day, Fifty Shades Darker is not expected to win this weekend. That could be a surprise, considering the original set the record (then) for biggest February opener, which would … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Fifty Shades’ Of ‘Batman’ and ‘John Wick’
Here’s the thing. Split has been doing really well. It opened above expectations, and it only dropped 35% last weekend. It’s on track to be the first 100M release of 2017, possibly as early as this weekend (but more likely … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Is ‘Rings’ A Hit?
Split has managed to do even better than expected, showing that Shyamalan still has power at the box office. The film has also managed a B+ cinemascore, which is really good for a film of this genre. Of course, what … Continue reading Friday Box Office: ‘Split’ Explodes, ‘XXX3’ Just Does OK
I have a feeling both Split and XXX3 are going to beat their current projections. I’m seeing Split exploding on tracking, and if The Bye Bye Man can hit 15M with shit reviews, Split might even get 30M with good … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘XXX’ or ‘Split’?
Mark Wahlberg’s Patriots Day is looking to make an impact over the MLKJr weekend. The question is, will it be enough to beat Hidden Figures, which is reeling from an A+ cinemascore. Patriots Day is just one of a handful … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Patriots Day’ Aims For First Over Crowded Weekend
Star Wars is looking to win this weekend, even with a hard hit coming out of the holidays. Hidden Figures is the only film that’s being set up as a potential breakout. It’s tracking in the high teens, but I … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Star Wars’ Vs ‘Blood Wars’
As 2016 winds down, I thought I’d take the opportunity to examine not just the hits, but the unexpected hits of the year. It’s easy to just repost the top 10 biggest films of the year, but these are my … Continue reading The Biggest Box Office Surprises and Flops Of The Year
The weekend after Christmas is still traditionally a strong weekend. Having New Years Day will balance out New Years Eve. Films will have a small week-to-week decline, as no new films open wide. 1) Rogue One- 38M Weekend, 400M Total … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Star Wars’ To Continue To Lead Over New Year’s
These projections are for the Wed-Sun span of five days. Star Wars is going to win. Sing is expected to perform really well but Star Wars is unbeatable in week two. The other new releases are all projected to turn … Continue reading Holiday Box Office Projections: ‘Star Wars’ or ‘Sing’ At The Top?
Rogue One is clearly going to win the weekend. Last year, The Force Awakens opened to 247M, and went on to be the top grossing domestic release. Rogue One can’t match that business. It can’t match that hype. It was … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: How ‘Rogue’ Will One Go?
Moana should easily lead Office Christmas Party, the lone new wide release. Moana has been getting a ton of attention, and that isn’t likely to stop until Rogue One. Office Christmas Party has Jennifer Aniston and Jason Bateman, but tracking … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Moana’ To Crash A ‘Christmas Party’
With our widest new release being Incarnate, opening in 1700 screens, this is definitely a catch-up week. However, this weekend is traditionally always brutal as films drop 50-60% almost no matter what. A really amazing week-to-week hold film will still drop 40%, just because of the post-Thanksgiving doldrums. There are quite a few proven crowdpleasers out right now (Moana, Beasts, Strange, Trolls) that will see their harshest drops to date. Still, Moana will lead the pack as the freshest crowdpleaser out there. Incarnate isn’t expected to do much. Despite the fact that Krampus performed well in this same timeframe, Incarnate … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Moana’ To Lead A Slow Weekend
With Moana opening tonight at 7PM, Fantastic Beasts is already looking to lose its #1 perch. Moana currently has a 100% on Rotten Tomatoes, which will cause a huge boost of confidence in ticket buying over the 5 day weekend. … Continue reading Thanksgiving Box Office Predictions: How Big Will ‘Moana’ Get?