So for purposes of figuring out just HOW wrong I was in certain categories, I’m scoring myself like this: If I correctly guessed the winner, I get 5 points. If I listed the actual winner as a “possible upset”, that’s 3 points. If it was a Longshot, 1 point. If I said it had No Chance, I get zero points.
Let’s begin!
Best Film Drama:
I Predicted: Manchester By The Sea
Actual Winner: Moonlight
I put Moonlight as a Possible Upset and even acknowledged that I thought it was an incredibly tight race between the two, so I’m not surprised Moonlight won. I could have flipped a coin on these two.
Points So Far: 3/5
Drama Actor:
I Predicted: Casey Affleck (Manchester By The Sea)
Actual Winner: Casey Affleck (Manchester By The Sea)
I thought he was a lock, and he was.
Points so far: 8/10
Drama Actress:
I Predicted: Amy Adams (Arrival)
Actual Winner: Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
I thought Adams would get it, but Hupper snuck the win. I had her as a possible upset, so not too far off
Points So Far: 11/15
Best Musical/Comedy
I Predicted: :a La Land
Actual Winner: La La Land
Another easy victory for me.
Points So Far: 16/20.
Comedy Actor:
I Predicted: Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Actual Winner: Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Another one correct.
Points So Far: 21/25
Comedy Actress:
I Predicted: Emma Stone (La La Land)
Actual Winner: Emma Stone (La La Land)
I did well by betting on La La Land
Points So Far: 26/30.
Supporting Actor:
I Predicted: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Actual Winner: Aaron Taylor Johnson (Nocturnal Animals)
You know, I don’t even feel bad that I had him at “no chance”? He wasn’t projected to win by ANY off the experts. In fact, his Oscar odds on Gold Derby are 100/1. He’s literally ranked LAST. 52nd. His co-star, Michael Shannon, has better odds. He wasn’t even supposed to be nominated, let alone win. It was the biggest shock of the night. I ain’t mad.
Points So Far: 26/35
Supporting Actress:
I Predicted: Viola Davis (Fences)
Actual Winner: Viola Davis (Fences)
Landed another one.
Points So Far: 31/40.
Best Director:
I Predicted: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Actual Winner: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Another victory for me.
Points So Far: 36/45.
Best Screenplay:
I Predicted: Manchester By The Sea
Actual Winner: La La Land
I had La La Land as an upset, so there’s that, and I acknowledged how close the category was, not listing anyone as “no chance”.
Points So Far: 39/50
Animated Feature:
I Predicted: Zootopia
Actual Winner: Zootopia
I knew it would win. It’s the only one in serious contention for a Best Picture nomination, and also in the running for Screenplay.
Points So Far: 44/55
Foreign Language:
I Predicted: Elle
Actual Winner: Elle
I’m glad I stuck with my gut instinct here and didn’t go with Toni Erdmann.
Points So Far: 49/60
Best Score:
I Predicted: La La Land
Actual Winner: La La Land
I had said “The movie about music will win this category”, and I was right.
Points so Far: 54/65
Best Original Song:
I Predicted: How Far I’ll Go (Moana)
Actual Winner: City Of Stars (La La Land)
I thought the Globes would want to award Lin Manuel Miranda, and I was wrong. I guess he’s gonna have to wait a bit longer for that EGOT. Personally, I think Audition is a better song, but alas. At least I had City Of Stars as a possible upset.
Points So Far: 57/70.
So I missed 13 possible points throughout the night. That’s not too shabby. I was mostly right, and then mostly almost right. The only one I was completely off was Supporting Actor, and I have a feeling no one saw that coming.