Emmy Winner Predictions

I’m live blogging the Emmy’s tonight for MJ’s Big Blog (www.mjsbigblog.com), so this will be my official Emmy post until its over. I’m a frequent “hater” of the Emmys, because they always seem to nominate the same block of shows/actors over and over. If a show hasn’t been nominated by its second season, it seems highly unlikely that it will ever be recognized, as witnessed by several terrific shows currently running (The Americans, Bates Motel) as well as recently ended shows like Sons Of Anarchy. No matter how much you want them to get nominated, they will continue to nominate Homeland.

BEST DRAMA SERIES: Mad Man
Its the final season of Mad Men. I can’t see anyone else winning this category. If I had to pick one potential upset, I’d go with Game Of Thrones as a strong second.

BEST COMEDY SERIES: Transparent
Look for the Emmys to make a bold statement and reward Freshman comedy Transparent this time around. Despite the fact that this is the last opportunity for Parks and Recreation to win, I expect Transparent to steal that from them.

BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA: Jon Hamm, Mad Men
He’s never won. There’s such a huge push for him to finally win an Emmy for his portrayal of Don Draper, and honestly… no one else in his category demands to win. Some of them (Jeff Daniels) are just lucky to be nominated.

BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY: Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent
One of the most surefire bets. He has virtually no competition. I literally couldn’t even tell you who I thought would be second place in this race. Maybe Louie CK? This is the one category I’m 100% sure about the result.

BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA: Viola Davis, How To Get Away With Murder
This is one of the tightest categories, and hardest to predict. Many people think Elizabeth Moss will get the win here, for her final season of Mad Men. She’s won before. There are two incredibly buzzy new shows, with two incredibly buzzy lead actresses in it. To not give this award to either Taraji P. Henson for Empire or Davis would be just another nail in the coffin for how out of touch Emmy voters are. Everyone loved Viola Davis. I think she’s gonna steal this category.

BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY: Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Another really tight race. This really is a three legged race between Pohler, Amy Schumer, and Julia Louis-Dreyfus. The Veep star has won this category a couple times already, and Schumer’s comedy can be a bit much for some voters. The solid bet here is Poehler, who will be getting the same “last season” push that Hamm is. She’s never won. Will the Emmy’s also rectify that problem this year? Perhaps.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA: Peter Dinklage, Game Of Thrones
This is a hard category to call because it feels like it has no frontrunner. Jonathan Banks in Better Call Saul is a maybe… as is Ben Mendelsohn for Bloodline, but when I can’t see a frontrunner, I default to who the Emmy’s traditionally pick… which is Dinklage.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY: Titus Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Never before has an actor broken through so immediately into the comedy culture than Titus has on Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt. His character is an instant classic, and will give Emmy voters a reason to finally not recognize a Modern Family cast member. Though, there’s a very real possibility that Ty Burrell wins this again… or even Tony Hale from Veep.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA: Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
I expect Hendricks to ride the Mad Men wave this season, and get an Emmy. Her biggest competition are the two Game Of Thrones girls who are splitting votes, so I’m not sure either can upset Hendricks, who is the only Mad Men cast member in this category.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY: Allison Janney, Mom
I gotta say, this is another one where I’m just “defaulting”. I don’t see a front-runner, but I do see potential upsets in Anna Chlumsky for Veep and Gaby Hoffman for Transparent. Hoffman could ride the wave of love for Transparent to a win, and benefits from not having to compete against Judith Light in this category (no vote splitting). This is a tough call, but I’m going with the safe bet of Janney. Janney is a bit like the Meryl Streep of the Emmy’s, having already won 6 awards. When you don’t see a better option, just put your bets on her.

BEST LIMITED SERIES: Olive Kitteridge
No, I don’t think either American show will win.

ACTOR IN A LIMITED/MOVIE: Richard Jenkins, Olive Kitteridge
Or perhaps Mark Rylance for Wolf Hall. I don’t really know.

ACTRESS IN A LIMITED/MOVIE: Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge
Sensing a lot of love for Olive? Yup.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED/MOVIE: Bill Murray, Olive Kitteridge
It’ll be almost an Olive SWEEP!

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED/MOVIE: Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Freak Show
She basically played two characters, and her work on AHS has always been solid. I can’t see her not being recognized here.

BEST VARIETY SKETCH SERIES: Inside Amy Schumer
Key and Peele as a potential upset, but I think Emmy voters can’t ignore how popular Schumer has become.

BEST REALITY COMPETITION SERIES: The Amazing Race
Because the Emmy voters really don’t like not giving this show an Emmy. Every once in a while they choose something else (The Voice, Top Chef), but then they go right back to Amazing Race. Since The Voice was recognized last year, I’m expecting them to go right back to Amazing Race. Personally, I’d give it to So You Think You Can Dance, which desperately needs this win to stay alive for another season.

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