The Maze Runner sequel is opening just a year after the original did well with a 32M opening. Scorch Trials should expand on the goodwill of the first sequel, and with not a lot of competition in the marketplace, should end up with a pretty amazing gross for the middle of September.
Johnny Depp’s Black Mass is a harder sell. Yes, the film has been getting good reviews, and yes it’s a Johnny Depp film. But so was Mortdecai. Sometimes, people don’t go see a film just because of Depp. Good reviews, good buzz, and possible awards contention for Depp should bring in people this weekend who aren’t going to see Maze Runner. Again, there isn’t a lot of competition.
Captive is opening in 806 screens, with Kate Mara and David Oyelowo, and a hint of Christian beliefs. It should do OK, but these are not bankable stars, and War Room is going to suck up a lot of that business (like it did against 90 Minutes In Heaven). Everest should break the Top 10. 546 screens is a decent screen count, and they’re all IMAX, so it benefits from higher ticket prices.
Of the four new releases, Captive is really the one getting the raw end of critic reviews at 41%. Maze Runner sits at 47%, Everest at 71%, and Black Mass certified fresh at 76%.
1) Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials- 38M Opening Weekend, 38M Total
2) Black Mass- 25M Opening Weekend, 25M Total
3) The Perfect Guy- 13M Weekend, 44M Total
4) The Visit- 11M Weekend, 42M Total
5) War Room- 6.5M Weekend, 49M Total
6) A Walk In The Woods- 3.5M Weekend, 25M Total
7) Captive- 3M Opening Weekend, 3M Total
8) Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation- 3M Weekend, 193M Total
9) Everest- 2.5M Opening Weekend, 2.5M Total
10) Straight Outta Compton- 2.5M Weekend, 159M Total