Mind you, this is a horror film that STILL has a 100% on Rotten Tomatoes the day before it begins its Thursday evening showings. 30 reviews counted so far, all Fresh. Get Out is definitely a super buzzy horror film, … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: How High Will ‘Get Out’ Go?
Yes, I believe that the Ice Cube/Charlie Day comedy Fist Fight is going to outgross Matt Damon’s action The Great Wall. Interestingly, The Great Wall has already made 224M overseas (170M of that being from China alone). That doesn’t mean … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Fist Fight’ Will Climb A ‘Great Wall’
LEGO Batman didn’t quite hit the 60M many were expecting, but 54.5M total is good. Fifty Shades of Darker did much better than expected, and somehow managed a B+ cinemascore, which is up from the C+ the original received. I … Continue reading Weekend Box Office: ‘Lego’, ‘Shades’, ‘Wick’ all impress
Even though it might be the top destination choice for Valentine’s Day, Fifty Shades Darker is not expected to win this weekend. That could be a surprise, considering the original set the record (then) for biggest February opener, which would … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Fifty Shades’ Of ‘Batman’ and ‘John Wick’
Here’s the thing. Split has been doing really well. It opened above expectations, and it only dropped 35% last weekend. It’s on track to be the first 100M release of 2017, possibly as early as this weekend (but more likely … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Is ‘Rings’ A Hit?
Split has managed to do even better than expected, showing that Shyamalan still has power at the box office. The film has also managed a B+ cinemascore, which is really good for a film of this genre. Of course, what … Continue reading Friday Box Office: ‘Split’ Explodes, ‘XXX3’ Just Does OK
I have a feeling both Split and XXX3 are going to beat their current projections. I’m seeing Split exploding on tracking, and if The Bye Bye Man can hit 15M with shit reviews, Split might even get 30M with good … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘XXX’ or ‘Split’?
Mark Wahlberg’s Patriots Day is looking to make an impact over the MLKJr weekend. The question is, will it be enough to beat Hidden Figures, which is reeling from an A+ cinemascore. Patriots Day is just one of a handful … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Patriots Day’ Aims For First Over Crowded Weekend
Star Wars is looking to win this weekend, even with a hard hit coming out of the holidays. Hidden Figures is the only film that’s being set up as a potential breakout. It’s tracking in the high teens, but I … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Star Wars’ Vs ‘Blood Wars’
As 2016 winds down, I thought I’d take the opportunity to examine not just the hits, but the unexpected hits of the year. It’s easy to just repost the top 10 biggest films of the year, but these are my … Continue reading The Biggest Box Office Surprises and Flops Of The Year
The weekend after Christmas is still traditionally a strong weekend. Having New Years Day will balance out New Years Eve. Films will have a small week-to-week decline, as no new films open wide. 1) Rogue One- 38M Weekend, 400M Total … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Star Wars’ To Continue To Lead Over New Year’s
These projections are for the Wed-Sun span of five days. Star Wars is going to win. Sing is expected to perform really well but Star Wars is unbeatable in week two. The other new releases are all projected to turn … Continue reading Holiday Box Office Projections: ‘Star Wars’ or ‘Sing’ At The Top?
Rogue One is clearly going to win the weekend. Last year, The Force Awakens opened to 247M, and went on to be the top grossing domestic release. Rogue One can’t match that business. It can’t match that hype. It was … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: How ‘Rogue’ Will One Go?
Moana should easily lead Office Christmas Party, the lone new wide release. Moana has been getting a ton of attention, and that isn’t likely to stop until Rogue One. Office Christmas Party has Jennifer Aniston and Jason Bateman, but tracking … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Moana’ To Crash A ‘Christmas Party’
With our widest new release being Incarnate, opening in 1700 screens, this is definitely a catch-up week. However, this weekend is traditionally always brutal as films drop 50-60% almost no matter what. A really amazing week-to-week hold film will still drop 40%, just because of the post-Thanksgiving doldrums. There are quite a few proven crowdpleasers out right now (Moana, Beasts, Strange, Trolls) that will see their harshest drops to date. Still, Moana will lead the pack as the freshest crowdpleaser out there. Incarnate isn’t expected to do much. Despite the fact that Krampus performed well in this same timeframe, Incarnate … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Moana’ To Lead A Slow Weekend
With Moana opening tonight at 7PM, Fantastic Beasts is already looking to lose its #1 perch. Moana currently has a 100% on Rotten Tomatoes, which will cause a huge boost of confidence in ticket buying over the 5 day weekend. … Continue reading Thanksgiving Box Office Predictions: How Big Will ‘Moana’ Get?
The Harry Potter spinoff prequel Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them is definitely going to win the weekend. But the question is, how big could it go? Well, unlike the Harry Potter series, this is not based on a … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: A ‘Fantastic’ Week As Miles Teller ‘Bleed’s For ‘Billy Lynn’
I’m kidding. Arrival won’t beat Dr Strange. It’s more of a cerebral alien film, and less like Independence Day. However, the 100% on Rotten Tomatoes that they’re promoting should send more people to the theatres than initially expected. Anyone who … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: A New ‘Arrival’ Challenges The ‘Doctor’
You’re probably headed to the theatres this weekend. If not, you definitely know someone who is. Between Doctor Strange and Trolls, the box office is about to receive an adrenaline shot after having a sluggish October. It’s good news for … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Three New Films Lead, One ‘Strange’ Will Win
Tom Hanks’s Inferno, the third book in the Da Vinci Code series by Dan Brown, is looking to easily get the top spot as it is the only new wide release this weekend, and it has already been doing quite … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Inferno’ For Top Spot
It looks like there is life in both the Jack Reacher franchise and the Madea franchise as the two films battle for the top spot. Ouija is kind of disappointing, though the film did only cost 9M to make, so … Continue reading Friday Box Office: Tom Cruise Vs Madea
There are a handful of new wide releases this weekend hoping to reenergize the box office. The leader of the pack is Tom Cruise’s Jack Reacher sequel, which hopes to make an impact in a marketplace crowded with adult-targeted films. … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Audiences Go Back To ‘Jack Reacher’
Ben Affleck is hoping to take the top spot this weekend with The Accountant, which is running ads that it is critically acclaimed, yet it lacks a RT score. So, is it REALLY a good film, or is it using … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Ben Affleck Aims For The Top
The big question this weekend is the impending arrival of Hurricane Matthew and its impact on the weekend box office. Even if Matthew’s eye never hits land, the outer bands will be drenching Florida, Georgia, and the Carolina’s over the … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Will The Hurricane Stop The ‘Train’?
We’ve had a lot of flops this summer, and some disappointments. So, ultimately, how did they pan out at the foreign box office? Were any saved overseas? X-Men Apocalypse: 155.4M Domestic, 388.1M Foreign X-Men Apocalypse has made 543.6M this year … Continue reading Foreign Box Office: Did It Save Any Flops?
Miss Peregrine’s Home For Peculiar Children is running away with the weekend, though some people are wondering if 26M is enough. Peregrine is getting a B+ cinemascore, which is suggesting it might leg out around 75M. Burton carries well overseas, … Continue reading Weekend Box Office: ‘Peregrine’ Way Out In Front
Tim Burton vs Mark Wahlberg. It’s looking like Miss Peregrine will edge out Deepwater Horizon. There really isn’t a comparison for Peregrine, though you might compare it Corpse Bride, which made 19.1M on opening weekend, onto a 53M final. Considering … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Peregrine’ and ‘Horizon’ Aim For #1
The Magnificent Seven is having an excellent weekend at the box office. 35M is exciting stuff considering last weekend. It has an A- cinemascore, and should perform well. Storks also managed an A- cinemascore, but a lower than predicted opening … Continue reading Friday Box Office: A ‘Magnificent’ Weekend
Denzel Washington, Chris Pratt, Ethan Hawke, and the rest of the cast of The Magnificent Seven are hoping to do the impossible. Open a western. This is a genre that has seen some hard disappointments in the past couple years … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: A ‘Magnificent’ Weekend
All that “tracking” for Blair Witch and Bridget Jones’s Baby ended up being just a giant turd filled sandwich. Blair Witch was tracking with a potential 20M opening, with some critics praising it. It’s looking to wind up with 9.4M … Continue reading Friday Box Office: Well That Was Disappointing
Even with all the hype, I think Blair Witch is one of those films that has people going “we’ll wait and see”. They’re going to wait for a friend to see it first, and let them know it’s good, which … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Can ‘Sully’ Stake ‘Blair Witch’?
In the tradition of No Good Deed and The Perfect Guy comes When The Bough Breaks, which is hoping to stir up another 20M+ opening for a thriller with a primarily black cast in September. To help, the film stars Morris Chestnut, who was also in The Perfect Guy. The studio behind it is trying to act surprised, saying they hope for a 12-14M opening, but most people think this is going to replicate the success of the others and get at least 20M. The question is, will it beat Sully? Sully is currently tracking in the low 20’s, as … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Will The ‘Bough’ Break ‘Sully’?
So, its September. And traditionally, that means slow box office. However, a few huge hits in the past couple years have changed that perception, and later in the month, a few key pics will try and follow in their footsteps. … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: Uhhh…. Go Watch Some TV?
Don’t Breathe exploded this weekend, giving Screen Gems their highest opening of August. Also, the film managed a pretty impressive feat, getting a B+ cinemascore, which is great for horror titles. B+ is basically an A in this genre. The … Continue reading Friday Box Office: ‘Don’t Breathe’ Chokes ‘Suicide Squad’
Don’t Breathe is likely to win the weekend, following in the success of Lights Out, and capitalizing on the lack of competition for the top spot. The film currently has a strong 88% on Rotten Tomatoes leading into the weekend, … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Don’t Breathe’ Ahead Of ‘Suicide’
The 100M epic Ben Hur is struggling to find audiences, as predicted, this weekend, falling below the other two new entries (and two holdovers). This has to hurt for MGM, but pretty much everyone saw this coming. I don’t know … Continue reading Friday Box Office: Audiences Abandon ‘Ben Hur’
1) Captain America: Civil War- MY GUESS- 430M, ACTUAL TAKE: 407M Not bad, except that it isn’t the #1 film of the summer. Finding Dory was. However, I was only 23M short of the final gross, which is pretty close. … Continue reading Summer Box Office Challenge- How Did I Do?
Suicide Squad is destined for a large dip. I think it could drop 65% to 47M, especially in the wake of some solid new entries, as well as kids starting to go back to school. Sausage Party is tracking really … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Squad’ To Lead ‘Sausage’ and ‘Dragon’
Suicide Squad is aiming to be the highest opener for August, ever. That title is currently held by Guardians of the Galaxy at 94.3M. However, Fandango is reporting that Suicide Squad’s advance sales are way past that, and that it … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: How High Can ‘Suicide Squad’ Go?
Matt Damon’s return to the Jason Bourne role will easily take 1st this weekend. Like most of the sequels this summer, it won’t be able to match the series high opener of its last entry (Ultimatum made 69M in its … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Bourne’ Resurrection In 1st
Star Trek Beyond has been called a flop by some industry naysayers. However, on a weekend where 5 films are tracking above 20M, I’d say a 56M opening is still pretty solid. It’s not amazing but it’s OK. I’d be … Continue reading Friday Box Office: ‘Lights’ Explode, ‘Ice Age’ Crashes
Depending on how you feel about 46M for Ghostbusters, it either did just fine, or it disappointed. It definitely didn’t overperform. The big question seems to be “will we see a Ghostbusters 2”, and that question will be answered once … Continue reading Weekend Box Office: ‘Ghostbusters’ in Second
Kids films usually don’t experience harsh drops week-to-week. Finding Dory’s 50% dip was a bit of an anomaly last week. Pets, at its harshest drop, won’t go lower than 55M. It likely will make higher, but this is really the … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Ghostbusters’ Won’t Bust ‘Pets’
Australia– Just saw the opening of Finding Dory, Central Intelligence, and The BFG. Nothing really surprising here. Only one of the top 10 is a local film, everything else is American. Finding Dory has already outgrossed Zootopia there, and is … Continue reading The Crazy World Of International Box Office
Illumination’s The Secret Life Of Pets opens this weekend, and is definitely hitting #1. It’s the film that’s been heavily promoted for a year, causing buzz to transform this film into a tentpole for the studio. If Dory wasn’t alive … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Pets’ Put An End To ‘Dory’ At The Top
Well, it looks like we have a few winners this weekend, and one loser. The Legend Of Tarzan and The Purge 3 both came out winners this weekend. Tarzan overperformed from its original 30M projection, and The Purge 3 actually … Continue reading Weekend Box Office: ‘Dory’ Wins, But ‘Tarzan’ and ‘Purge’ Surprise
It looks as though The Legend Of Tarzan isn’t quite the huge flop some were predicting it to be. of course, 43M over the July 4th weekend doesn’t seem to be enough for some people, but for a film starring … Continue reading Friday Box Office: ‘Dory’ Towers Over Newcomers Over The Long Weekend
Finding Dory is still very much the film to watch out for this weekend. It should crush all three new releases. It will likely be the last weekend it sits on top, as The Secret Life Of Pets opens next … Continue reading Box Office Predictions: ‘Dory’ Blasts Fireworks At Three New Entries
1) Captain America: Civil War- 430M Total At 403M, it’s not likely it will hit quite the 430M total. It may squeak out somewhere around 410M. The way Finding Dory is performing, it might not even remain the top film … Continue reading Summer Box Office Challenge: How Am I Doing?
Man, the Independence Day franchise is dunzo. Any sequels being made without Will Smith are dunzo. Not only did Independence Day not beat the second weekend of Finding Dory, but it ended up below even the low end of its … Continue reading Weekend Box Office: ‘ID42’ What Happened?